Herald Sun | AFL

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

SuperCoach Break Even Explained

There is alot of confusion about Break Even in SuperCoach. Break Even is really quite simple. Allow me a short moment to explain.

G Ablett $744k


Divide the price (in $k) by 5


744 / 5 = 149

Gazza's break even is 149. This means he has to average 149 over roughly the first half of the season to maintain his price. Score less, and his price will drop. Score more, and his price will increase. His average last year was 140.

I assure you it is as simple as dividing the price by 5. I have seen other numbers eg 5.xxx  Ignore. The inflated starting price has not been taken into account and has muffed all further calculations. I have stated earlier that the price is 1/16th over-valued for every player who made the park 12 times or more last year.


The formula becomes slightly more complex after round 3. But only slightly. A rolling 3-round average is used. A round's break even is determined by the previous 2 rounds and the current round.


That is it for break even. It's one of the most important factors for telling a SuperCoach when to trade. I'm perfectly happy to go into any further detail that ppl may want. I wanted to keep it simple to begin with.

P.S. 5.311 is correct for round 3 only, afterwards it is completely irrelevant, and drops. I believe it is better to take a longer term view. Using 5 instead of other numbers projects ahead. It is simpler and has more relevance, particularly for beginners.